REVISITING MY PREDICTIONS FOR RANDY MOSS IN 2012 - Back in May when Randy Moss signed with the San Francisco 49ers, I boldly predicted that he would put up numbers to this effect:
My Randy Moss Projections for 2012...
64 receptions, 960 yards, 12 TD
Actual Randy Moss Totals for 2012...
28 receptions, 434 yards, 3 TD
ANALYSIS: I was a little off. Clearly, I was seeing a huge Moss resurgence after he spent a year away from the game, but I'd figure he'd get close to my projections pretty easily...
- I predicted 4 catches per game for Moss, and he wound up averaging 1.75 catches per game.
- I figured he'd average 15 yards per catch, and I was actually right on the money with that one. He averaged 15.5 yards per catch in 2012.
- And I definitely thought he'd play a much bigger role in the red zone, but he managed just 3 touchdowns for the season.
So yeah, I missed the mark on that one by a couple of football fields. But let's move on to the real question here: Why didn't Randy Moss catch the ball more?
There could be a few reasons for this... Maybe Moss is still drawing triple coverage? I suppose film study would prove that to be untrue. Maybe it's because Alex Smith was his quarterback most of the season, and Smith is mediocre at best? Probably partially true. I watched Smith miss a few throws to Moss, including a TD, this season. Maybe there were a whole bunch of missed throws that I didn't see, as well. Maybe Moss isn't the player he used to be? I suppose anything is possible, but I'd much rather blame this on Alex Smith.
But hey, the Niners (by the way, these playoffs have been awesome for anyone who likes to say the word "Niners" a lot) are in the NFC Championship game, and remember when I boldly predicted the Niners would play for the NFC Championship? No? Well, maybe I didn't post that prediction online... and I can't recall saying it to anyone, either... and I may not have even so much as mumbled it to myself... but I swear! I predicted it!
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